Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Leslies Pathtofame
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Grey Ocean           4    56.0    1    0.00     12.0  60    39           60    +0
2    Life Goes On         7    60.5    2    0.80     0.0   69    72           72    +3
3    Leslies Pathtofame   7    57.5    3    2.20     0.0   66    66           66    +0
4    Woodstock Festival   6    55.0    4    2.35     0.0   66    61           61    -5
5    Imitation Game       4    58.5    5    2.40     12.0  65    44           55    -10
6    Giambattista         3    55.0    6    5.80     10.5  58    40           48    -10
7    Desert Pride         4    55.5    7    8.00     12.0  59    38           49    -10
8    Final Destiny        4    55.5    8    10.10    12.0  59    38           49    -10
9    Spirit Of Dacha      4    57.0    9    11.00    12.0  62    41           52    -10
10   Monsoon Kenny        3    53.5    10   12.00    10.5  60    37           50    -10
11   Stevie Gee           5    60.5    11   15.50    0.0   83    72           73    -10
12   Running Freely       5    61.0    12   99.99    0.0   70    73           73    +3
99   Father's Frost       7    62.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Miss Magician        3    60.5    99   0.00     10.5  -     51           51    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Grey Ocean 60 61 60 +1 12.0 -
2 Life Goes On 69 54 72 -18 0.0 -
3 Leslies Pathtofame Line 66 63 66 -3 0.0
4 Woodstock Festival 66 57 61 -4 0.0 -
5 Imitation Game 65 61 55 +6 12.0 -
6 Giambattista 58 87 48 +39 10.5 -
7 Desert Pride 59 61 49 +12 12.0 -
8 Final Destiny 59 50 49 +1 12.0 -
9 Spirit Of Dacha 62 53 52 +1 12.0 -
10 Monsoon Kenny 60 60 50 +10 10.5 -
11 Stevie Gee 83 65 73 -8 0.0 -
12 Running Freely 70 70 73 -3 0.0 -
99 Father's Frost - 62 75 -13 0.0 -
99 Miss Magician - 68 51 +17 10.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points