Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 30 AUGUST MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jet Cat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Twice The Storm 2 55.5 1 0.00 7.0 79 51 79 +0 2 Power Ranger 7 55.0 2 0.25 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Jet Cat 9 58.0 3 0.75 0.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Phinda Mzala 4 57.0 4 1.00 12.0 68 44 58 -10 5 Dark Tide 5 56.0 5 3.00 0.0 66 66 66 +0 6 Lulu's Boy 5 58.0 6 4.75 0.0 70 70 70 +0 7 West Coast Lover 4 56.5 7 4.85 12.0 70 43 60 -10 8 Funky Music 4 56.5 8 4.90 12.0 67 43 57 -10 9 Back To Basics 3 52.5 9 5.00 10.5 59 38 49 -10 10 The Gliding Fish 6 57.0 10 5.75 0.0 68 68 68 +0 11 Into The Future 5 53.5 11 7.00 0.0 61 61 61 +0 12 Ridge To Reef 3 57.5 12 7.75 10.5 74 48 64 -10 13 Bevoeterd 3 55.0 13 12.00 10.5 63 43 53 -10 14 Moya Wa Laliga 3 60.5 14 23.00 10.5 75 54 65 -10 15 Ice Eater 6 58.0 15 23.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 16 Roger The Dodger 5 54.5 16 28.00 0.0 63 63 63 +0 99 Gal Gadot 8 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Written In Stone 9 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twice The Storm | 79 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Power Ranger | 64 | 69 | 64 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Cat Line | 70 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Phinda Mzala | 68 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dark Tide | 66 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lulu's Boy | 70 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | West Coast Lover | 70 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Funky Music | 67 | 83 | 57 | +26 | 12.0 | - | |
| 9 | Back To Basics | 59 | 72 | 49 | +23 | 10.5 | - | |
| 10 | The Gliding Fish | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Into The Future | 61 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ridge To Reef | 74 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Bevoeterd | 63 | 58 | 53 | +5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 14 | Moya Wa Laliga | 75 | 81 | 65 | +16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Ice Eater | 70 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Roger The Dodger | 63 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gal Gadot | - | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 66 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points