Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 30 AUGUST MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Jet Cat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Twice The Storm      2    55.5    1    0.00     7.0   79    51           79    +0
2    Power Ranger         7    55.0    2    0.25     0.0   64    64           64    +0
3    Jet Cat              9    58.0    3    0.75     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Phinda Mzala         4    57.0    4    1.00     12.0  68    44           58    -10
5    Dark Tide            5    56.0    5    3.00     0.0   66    66           66    +0
6    Lulu's Boy           5    58.0    6    4.75     0.0   70    70           70    +0
7    West Coast Lover     4    56.5    7    4.85     12.0  70    43           60    -10
8    Funky Music          4    56.5    8    4.90     12.0  67    43           57    -10
9    Back To Basics       3    52.5    9    5.00     10.5  59    38           49    -10
10   The Gliding Fish     6    57.0    10   5.75     0.0   68    68           68    +0
11   Into The Future      5    53.5    11   7.00     0.0   61    61           61    +0
12   Ridge To Reef        3    57.5    12   7.75     10.5  74    48           64    -10
13   Bevoeterd            3    55.0    13   12.00    10.5  63    43           53    -10
14   Moya Wa Laliga       3    60.5    14   23.00    10.5  75    54           65    -10
15   Ice Eater            6    58.0    15   23.50    0.0   70    70           70    +0
16   Roger The Dodger     5    54.5    16   28.00    0.0   63    63           63    +0
99   Gal Gadot            8    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     63           63    +0
99   Written In Stone     9    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Twice The Storm 79 73 79 -6 7.0 -
2 Power Ranger 64 69 64 +5 0.0 -
3 Jet Cat Line 70 60 70 -10 0.0
4 Phinda Mzala 68 54 58 -4 12.0 -
5 Dark Tide 66 53 66 -13 0.0 -
6 Lulu's Boy 70 71 70 +1 0.0 -
7 West Coast Lover 70 60 60 ✓ Match 12.0 -
8 Funky Music 67 83 57 +26 12.0 -
9 Back To Basics 59 72 49 +23 10.5 -
10 The Gliding Fish 68 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0 -
11 Into The Future 61 59 61 -2 0.0 -
12 Ridge To Reef 74 70 64 +6 10.5 -
13 Bevoeterd 63 58 53 +5 10.5 -
14 Moya Wa Laliga 75 81 65 +16 10.5 -
15 Ice Eater 70 57 70 -13 0.0 -
16 Roger The Dodger 63 51 63 -12 0.0 -
99 Gal Gadot - 50 63 -13 0.0 -
99 Written In Stone - 67 66 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points