Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Lord Minver
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Lucretius            6    53.5    1    0.00     0.0   56    73           56    +0
2    Lord Minver          3    54.5    2    3.30     10.0  58    58           58    +0
3    Living Waters        5    58.0    3    3.45     0.0   63    85           85    +22
4    Bend The Rules       3    59.5    4    5.05     10.0  71    65           65    -6
5    Mandala Effect       3    53.5    5    6.45     10.0  56    53           53    -3
6    Grey Linngari        5    49.5    6    7.20     0.0   51    65           65    +14
7    Double Gemini        7    58.0    7    7.60     0.0   63    82           82    +19
8    Twice Golden         5    54.0    8    10.80    0.0   55    74           74    +19
9    High Green           7    53.5    9    11.40    0.0   62    73           73    +11
10   Techno Savvy         4    59.5    10   13.30    7.0   66    71           71    +5
11   Colour Master        3    57.5    11   21.00    10.0  64    61           61    -3
12   Khiza                3    55.5    12   25.20    10.0  60    57           57    -3
99   Querari's Cowboy     5    61.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     89           89    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lucretius 56 64 56 +8 0.0 -
2 Lord Minver Line 58 53 58 -5 10.0
3 Living Waters 63 59 85 -26 0.0 -
4 Bend The Rules 71 74 65 +9 10.0 -
5 Mandala Effect 56 54 53 +1 10.0 -
6 Grey Linngari 51 50 65 -15 0.0 -
7 Double Gemini 63 61 82 -21 0.0 -
8 Twice Golden 55 84 74 +10 0.0 -
9 High Green 62 57 73 -16 0.0 -
10 Techno Savvy 66 62 71 -9 7.0 -
11 Colour Master 64 52 61 -9 10.0 -
12 Khiza 60 57 57 ✓ Match 10.0 -
99 Querari's Cowboy - 62 89 -27 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points