Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Camika
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bella Bandiera 2 54.0 1 0.00 7.0 73 60 60 -13 2 Fortune Bay 3 58.0 2 1.05 10.5 - 61 61 +61 3 Green Chilli 2 58.0 3 1.15 7.0 - 68 68 +68 4 Delilah's Gold 3 54.0 4 3.15 10.5 - 53 53 +53 5 Camika 2 58.0 5 4.95 7.0 68 68 68 +0 6 If You Say So 3 60.0 6 6.15 10.5 - 65 65 +65 7 Two Minds 3 58.0 7 6.25 10.5 - 61 61 +61 8 Who Are You 2 58.0 8 10.65 7.0 - 68 68 +68 9 Girls Got Rhythm 3 58.5 9 13.15 10.5 - 62 62 +62 10 Columbia Road 3 60.0 10 17.65 10.5 - 65 65 +65 11 Tahitian Sunset 4 58.5 11 23.75 12.0 - 59 59 +59 99 Classical Chord 2 55.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bella Bandiera | 73 | 75 | 60 | +15 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fortune Bay | - | 62 | 61 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Green Chilli | - | 85 | 68 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Delilah's Gold | - | 51 | 53 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Camika Line | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 6 | If You Say So | - | 57 | 65 | -8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Two Minds | - | 52 | 61 | -9 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Who Are You | - | 58 | 68 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Girls Got Rhythm | - | 39 | 62 | -23 | 10.5 | - | |
| 10 | Columbia Road | - | 54 | 65 | -11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Tahitian Sunset | - | - | 59 | -59 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Classical Chord | - | 58 | 63 | -5 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points