Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: #THISISRACING MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Shavout
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Galactic Path 3 52.5 1 0.00 9.0 69 62 69 +0 2 Shavout 4 59.0 2 2.00 7.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Thousand Ships 3 55.5 3 2.50 9.0 76 70 70 -6 4 Steinbeck 3 60.0 4 6.00 9.0 85 77 77 -8 5 Aeneas 3 60.0 5 6.50 9.0 85 77 77 -8 6 Tizona 3 55.0 6 7.25 9.0 75 67 67 -8 7 Navy Strength 3 60.0 7 8.00 9.0 85 77 77 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galactic Path | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Shavout Line | 82 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Thousand Ships | 76 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Steinbeck | 85 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Aeneas | 85 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tizona | 75 | 83 | 67 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Navy Strength | 85 | 97 | 77 | +20 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points