Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CAPE RACING FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Time Flies
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Inara's Dynasty 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 85 85 85 +0 2 Time Flies 3 57.5 2 4.00 8.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Daughter Of Zeus 4 60.0 3 4.20 6.0 78 84 84 +6 4 Treasure Hunt 6 59.5 4 5.20 0.0 78 94 94 +16 5 Perilla 5 52.0 5 6.45 0.0 79 79 79 +0 6 Creme Brulee 2 54.5 6 8.20 0.0 84 84 84 +0 7 Open Secret 2 52.0 7 8.60 0.0 78 79 79 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inara's Dynasty | 85 | 89 | 85 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Time Flies Line | 74 | 117 | 74 | +43 | 8.5 | ||
| 3 | Daughter Of Zeus | 78 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Treasure Hunt | 78 | 80 | 94 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Perilla | 79 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Creme Brulee | 84 | 70 | 84 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Open Secret | 78 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points