Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Trumps Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Potente 2 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 71 64 64 -7 2 Goom Goom 3 60.0 2 1.25 10.5 59 61 61 +2 3 Trumps Express 4 60.0 3 1.50 12.0 58 58 58 +0 4 My Lord And Master 4 60.0 4 2.50 12.0 58 58 58 +0 5 Chariot Master 4 60.0 5 3.00 12.0 54 58 58 +4 6 Siberian Fox 2 58.0 6 3.50 7.0 63 64 64 +1 7 V V Power 3 60.0 7 7.75 10.5 57 61 61 +4 8 Coup Royal 3 60.0 8 14.00 10.5 51 61 61 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potente | 71 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Goom Goom | 59 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Trumps Express Line | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | My Lord And Master | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chariot Master | 54 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Siberian Fox | 63 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | V V Power | 57 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Coup Royal | 51 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points