Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 6 SEPTEMBER MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Mcebisi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Cabinet Shuffle      4    60.0    1    0.00     6.0   84    82           84    +0
2    Waqaas (AUS)         6    57.0    2    0.40     0.0   78    93           93    +15
3    Mcebisi              4    55.5    3    3.00     6.0   75    75           75    +0
4    Sound Of Hounds      3    57.5    4    3.05     8.5   80    74           74    -6
5    Whorly Whorly        7    61.0    5    3.10     0.0   86    98           98    +12
6    Elusive Swann        4    60.0    6    3.15     6.0   84    84           84    +0
7    Letsdoit             3    56.0    7    9.15     8.5   80    69           70    -10
8    Spin Doctor          3    57.5    8    11.65    8.5   80    72           72    -8
9    Full House           3    55.0    9    99.99    8.5   75    67           67    -8
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Cabinet Shuffle 84 76 84 -8 6.0 -
2 Waqaas (AUS) 78 56 93 -37 0.0 -
3 Mcebisi Line 75 70 75 -5 6.0
4 Sound Of Hounds 80 80 74 +6 8.5 -
5 Whorly Whorly 86 78 98 -20 0.0 -
6 Elusive Swann 84 72 84 -12 6.0 -
7 Letsdoit 80 72 70 +2 8.5 -
8 Spin Doctor 80 90 72 +18 8.5 -
9 Full House 75 75 67 +8 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points