Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Happy Analia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Tara Star            4    57.0    1    0.00     4.0   82    74           74    -8
2    Happy Analia         4    57.5    2    0.10     4.0   75    75           75    +0
3    Buttercup Baby       3    57.0    3    1.30     3.5   79    75           75    -4
4    Avernian Goddess     3    56.5    4    1.70     3.5   78    74           74    -4
5    Ubukhwebezana        4    58.5    5    1.75     4.0   77    77           77    +0
6    Prom Queen           3    58.0    6    1.95     3.5   81    77           77    -4
7    Miss Ladyaterix      3    60.0    7    2.65     3.5   90    81           81    -9
8    Littleblackgem       3    52.5    8    2.80     3.5   73    66           66    -7
9    Nellie Melba         4    56.5    9    3.05     4.0   73    73           73    +0
10   Miss Paget           4    56.0    10   3.65     4.0   72    72           72    +0
11   Mamas Baby           4    56.0    11   6.05     4.0   72    72           72    +0
12   Emerald Green        4    60.5    12   6.35     4.0   81    81           81    +0
13   Amafort              3    56.0    13   7.05     3.5   77    73           73    -4
14   Hot Lava             3    51.0    14   8.45     3.5   75    63           65    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tara Star 82 96 74 +22 4.0 -
2 Happy Analia Line 75 78 75 +3 4.0
3 Buttercup Baby 79 98 75 +23 3.5 -
4 Avernian Goddess 78 91 74 +17 3.5 -
5 Ubukhwebezana 77 93 77 +16 4.0 -
6 Prom Queen 81 81 77 +4 3.5 -
7 Miss Ladyaterix 90 92 81 +11 3.5 -
8 Littleblackgem 73 61 66 -5 3.5 -
9 Nellie Melba 73 68 73 -5 4.0 -
10 Miss Paget 72 71 72 -1 4.0 -
11 Mamas Baby 72 65 72 -7 4.0 -
12 Emerald Green 81 75 81 -6 4.0 -
13 Amafort 77 61 73 -12 3.5 -
14 Hot Lava 75 69 65 +4 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points