Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: NATHAN KOTZEN RACING MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Ice Kingdom
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arividicio 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 90 88 70 -20 2 Quandary 5 58.0 2 0.05 0.0 - 88 88 +88 3 Lazy Guy 4 60.0 3 1.15 11.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Imperial Order 3 58.0 4 2.15 9.5 - 69 69 +69 5 Ice Kingdom 2 58.0 5 5.05 6.5 75 75 75 +0 6 Captain Spirit 3 55.5 6 6.95 9.5 - 64 64 +64 7 One Irish Rover 5 56.5 7 7.25 0.0 64 85 85 +21 8 Simply Unusual 3 58.0 8 7.95 9.5 - 69 69 +69 9 Cash Crusade 2 58.0 9 9.25 6.5 - 75 75 +75 10 Meetatthewindsor 5 58.0 10 9.40 0.0 - 88 88 +88 11 Flaming Drum 3 58.0 11 14.30 9.5 - 69 69 +69 12 Bucheparus 3 58.0 12 34.70 9.5 - 69 69 +69 13 Declaration Of War 5 60.0 13 99.99 0.0 52 92 92 +40 99 Tartarus 2 58.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arividicio | 90 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quandary | - | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lazy Guy | 70 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | Imperial Order | - | 78 | 69 | +9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ice Kingdom Line | 75 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 6.5 | ||
| 6 | Captain Spirit | - | 73 | 64 | +9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | One Irish Rover | 64 | 65 | 85 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Simply Unusual | - | - | 69 | -69 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cash Crusade | - | 68 | 75 | -7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Meetatthewindsor | - | 76 | 88 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flaming Drum | - | 50 | 69 | -19 | 9.5 | - | |
| 12 | Bucheparus | - | - | 69 | -69 | 9.5 | - | |
| 13 | Declaration Of War | 52 | 52 | 92 | -40 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tartarus | - | 82 | 75 | +7 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points