Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
African Skyline
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Passage Of Power     6    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   83    83           83    +0
2    Putins Promise       5    56.0    2    0.25     0.0   80    80           80    +0
3    African Skyline      6    58.0    3    1.25     0.0   84    84           84    +0
4    Frontline Fighter    3    58.0    4    2.05     9.5   84    65           74    -10
5    Hooves Of Troy       5    55.0    5    2.25     0.0   78    78           78    +0
6    Winter With Jo       3    58.0    6    3.45     9.5   84    65           74    -10
7    Hope Is Power        3    59.0    7    4.95     9.5   86    67           76    -10
8    Princekresh          4    57.5    8    5.25     11.0  91    61           81    -10
9    Lord Wylie           7    55.0    9    6.75     0.0   83    78           78    -5
10   Grappler             4    60.0    10   12.95    11.0  88    66           78    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Passage Of Power 83 76 83 -7 0.0 -
2 Putins Promise 80 73 80 -7 0.0 -
3 African Skyline Line 84 98 84 +14 0.0
4 Frontline Fighter 84 82 74 +8 9.5 -
5 Hooves Of Troy 78 87 78 +9 0.0 -
6 Winter With Jo 84 74 74 ✓ Match 9.5 -
7 Hope Is Power 86 80 76 +4 9.5 -
8 Princekresh 91 72 81 -9 11.0 -
9 Lord Wylie 83 69 78 -9 0.0 -
10 Grappler 88 79 78 +1 11.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points