Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: www.hollywoodbets.net FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Call It Fate
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Metar                3    60.0    1    0.00     8.5   71    67           71    +0
2    Costa Smeralda       3    54.5    2    0.20     8.5   60    56           56    -4
3    Beneath The Moon     2    56.0    3    0.95     0.0   79    80           80    +1
4    Call It Fate         3    58.0    4    1.25     8.5   67    67           67    +0
5    Enchanted Creek      5    57.5    5    1.55     0.0   65    82           82    +17
6    Della's Sword        3    56.5    6    1.85     8.5   64    63           63    -1
7    Quickstep            2    57.0    7    2.25     0.0   81    81           81    +0
8    Love Is A Rose       2    59.5    8    2.65     0.0   86    85           85    -1
9    Air Of Royalty       3    58.5    9    2.95     8.5   68    66           66    -2
10   Cruizin California   3    61.0    10   4.20     8.5   73    70           70    -3
11   Lucy The Pink        2    55.5    11   6.45     0.0   78    75           75    -3
99   Song                 4    59.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     70           70    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Metar 71 73 71 +2 8.5 -
2 Costa Smeralda 60 53 56 -3 8.5 -
3 Beneath The Moon 79 59 80 -21 0.0 -
4 Call It Fate Line 67 61 67 -6 8.5
5 Enchanted Creek 65 60 82 -22 0.0 -
6 Della's Sword 64 56 63 -7 8.5 -
7 Quickstep 81 76 81 -5 0.0 -
8 Love Is A Rose 86 105 85 +20 0.0 -
9 Air Of Royalty 68 55 66 -11 8.5 -
10 Cruizin California 73 50 70 -20 8.5 -
11 Lucy The Pink 78 63 75 -12 0.0 -
99 Song - 68 70 -2 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points