Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: LONDON NEWS STAKES (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Astrix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Second Base 4 59.5 1 0.00 3.0 115 103 103 -12 2 Johnny Hero 5 60.0 2 0.30 0.0 110 115 115 +5 3 Astrix 5 59.0 3 1.20 0.0 112 112 112 +0 4 Golden Pheasant 7 59.0 4 3.75 0.0 112 109 109 -3 5 Savannah Storm 5 59.0 5 4.00 0.0 93 109 109 +16 6 Majestic Mozart 6 59.0 6 4.25 0.0 114 109 109 -5 7 Donald McDonald 5 59.0 7 6.00 0.0 102 108 108 +6 8 Shango 5 60.0 8 6.75 0.0 114 110 110 -4 9 Saragon 7 56.5 9 6.80 0.0 101 103 103 +2 10 Seehaam 5 56.5 10 9.25 0.0 105 103 103 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Second Base | 115 | 99 | 103 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Johnny Hero | 110 | 87 | 115 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Astrix Line | 112 | 118 | 112 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Golden Pheasant | 112 | 113 | 109 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Savannah Storm | 93 | 102 | 109 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Majestic Mozart | 114 | 112 | 109 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Donald McDonald | 102 | 107 | 108 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shango | 114 | 105 | 110 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Saragon | 101 | 86 | 103 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Seehaam | 105 | 98 | 103 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points