Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Valiente
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    One Too Many         3    55.5    1    0.00     9.5   68    57           68    +0
2    Justaguything        5    59.0    2    0.30     0.0   75    83           83    +8
3    Valiente             5    48.5    3    0.80     0.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Trafalgar Square     6    53.5    4    0.95     0.0   64    72           72    +8
5    Hampton Court        7    56.0    5    1.65     0.0   69    77           77    +8
6    Sting Ray            3    61.0    6    4.75     9.5   79    68           69    -10
7    General Hancock      3    58.5    7    6.05     9.5   74    63           64    -10
8    Joshua Hotsnake      3    56.0    8    6.30     9.5   69    58           59    -10
99   Drogarati            4    52.0    99   0.00     11.0  -     47           47    +0
99   Chara Sands          3    60.0    99   0.00     9.5   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 One Too Many 68 79 68 +11 9.5 -
2 Justaguything 75 87 83 +4 0.0 -
3 Valiente Line 62 75 62 +13 0.0
4 Trafalgar Square 64 69 72 -3 0.0 -
5 Hampton Court 69 70 77 -7 0.0 -
6 Sting Ray 79 73 69 +4 9.5 -
7 General Hancock 74 61 64 -3 9.5 -
8 Joshua Hotsnake 69 67 59 +8 9.5 -
99 Drogarati - 52 47 +5 11.0 -
99 Chara Sands - 70 66 +4 9.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points