Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 15 JANUARY FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dark Travel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flame Flower 3 58.5 1 0.00 5.0 82 63 82 +0 2 Trump My Queen 3 57.5 2 0.25 5.0 80 61 70 -10 3 Dark Travel 4 56.0 3 1.20 2.5 67 67 67 +0 4 Waya Yire 3 56.0 4 1.25 5.0 77 62 67 -10 5 Sybaris (IRE) 4 55.0 5 1.30 2.5 66 64 64 -2 6 Kapama 6 52.0 6 2.50 0.0 51 62 62 +11 7 Escape Artist 3 55.0 7 2.75 5.0 75 58 65 -10 8 Capri Gold 3 53.5 8 10.00 5.0 80 53 70 -10 9 Gypsy Magic 4 52.0 9 17.00 2.5 50 55 55 +5 10 Me Time 5 60.0 10 23.00 0.0 75 76 76 +1 99 Halloween 4 57.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flame Flower | 82 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Trump My Queen | 80 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dark Travel Line | 67 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Waya Yire | 77 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sybaris (IRE) | 66 | 78 | 64 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kapama | 51 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Escape Artist | 75 | 78 | 65 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Capri Gold | 80 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gypsy Magic | 50 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Me Time | 75 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Halloween | - | 84 | 65 | +19 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points