Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 22 SEPTEMBER CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)

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Line Horse
Ridge To Reef
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Stolen Thunder       3    56.0    1    0.00     8.5   61    59           59    -2
2    Fasinada             4    52.0    2    1.20     6.0   59    60           60    +1
3    Ridge To Reef        3    60.0    3    1.45     8.5   70    70           70    +0
4    Lidl Miss Sunshine   3    54.5    4    2.50     8.5   61    58           58    -3
5    Follow My Path       5    54.0    5    3.40     0.0   54    73           73    +19
6    West Point           3    56.0    6    3.70     8.5   63    60           60    -3
7    Luthuli              5    54.0    7    4.00     0.0   72    73           73    +1
8    Dual At Dawn         5    58.0    8    7.10     0.0   65    80           80    +15
9    Hydrangea            3    52.0    9    9.60     8.5   58    51           51    -7
10   Fantasy Flower       4    52.0    10   99.99    6.0   58    56           56    -2
99   Angelsea             3    56.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     59           59    +0
99   Quest from Afar      3    56.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     59           59    +0
99   Just Be Nice         3    56.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     59           59    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Stolen Thunder 61 69 59 +10 8.5 -
2 Fasinada 59 52 60 -8 6.0 -
3 Ridge To Reef Line 70 70 70 ✓ Match 8.5
4 Lidl Miss Sunshine 61 62 58 +4 8.5 -
5 Follow My Path 54 54 73 -19 0.0 -
6 West Point 63 53 60 -7 8.5 -
7 Luthuli 72 74 73 +1 0.0 -
8 Dual At Dawn 65 62 80 -18 0.0 -
9 Hydrangea 58 59 51 +8 8.5 -
10 Fantasy Flower 58 53 56 -3 6.0 -
99 Angelsea - 64 59 +5 8.5 -
99 Quest from Afar - 67 59 +8 8.5 -
99 Just Be Nice - 73 59 +14 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points