Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Aisling
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Alittlebitnaughty    4    56.0    1    0.00     11.0  66    63           66    +0
2    Aisling              3    57.5    2    1.20     9.5   69    69           69    +0
3    Retail Therapy       5    58.0    3    1.30     0.0   75    89           89    +14
4    Harley's Fate        2    58.0    4    1.45     6.5   83    76           76    -7
5    Dunyaa (AUS)         4    55.5    5    1.60     11.0  65    62           62    -3
6    Swiss Bank           4    55.0    6    1.70     11.0  64    61           61    -3
7    Petit Verdot         2    54.5    7    2.20     6.5   76    69           69    -7
8    Nikiya               6    59.5    8    2.25     0.0   76    92           92    +16
9    Belle Rouge          3    59.5    9    2.75     9.5   73    73           73    +0
10   Time Chaser          2    57.0    10   4.55     6.5   81    74           74    -7
11   There She Goes       6    51.0    11   6.65     0.0   64    75           75    +11
12   Bella Bandiera       2    52.5    12   8.05     6.5   80    65           70    -10
99   Desert Pride         4    53.5    99   0.00     11.0  -     58           58    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Alittlebitnaughty 66 62 66 -4 11.0 -
2 Aisling Line 69 66 69 -3 9.5
3 Retail Therapy 75 70 89 -19 0.0 -
4 Harley's Fate 83 67 76 -9 6.5 -
5 Dunyaa (AUS) 65 71 62 +9 11.0 -
6 Swiss Bank 64 64 61 +3 11.0 -
7 Petit Verdot 76 75 69 +6 6.5 -
8 Nikiya 76 75 92 -17 0.0 -
9 Belle Rouge 73 58 73 -15 9.5 -
10 Time Chaser 81 65 74 -9 6.5 -
11 There She Goes 64 77 75 +2 0.0 -
12 Bella Bandiera 80 75 70 +5 6.5 -
99 Desert Pride - 61 58 +3 11.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points