Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sunday Island (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Monarchy 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 97 81 +0 2 Arumugam 6 57.0 2 0.05 0.0 82 96 96 +14 3 Sunday Island (AUS) 3 60.5 3 0.35 9.5 89 89 89 +0 4 Juan Carlos 7 56.0 4 0.55 0.0 81 99 99 +18 5 Artic Tune 4 58.5 5 16.85 6.0 83 87 87 +4 6 Have A Go Jo 4 53.5 6 17.25 6.0 78 77 77 -1 7 Iron Will 4 58.5 7 18.45 6.0 85 87 87 +2 99 Sea Master 4 59.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarchy | 81 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Arumugam | 82 | 74 | 96 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sunday Island (AUS) Line | 89 | 86 | 89 | -3 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Juan Carlos | 81 | 93 | 99 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Artic Tune | 83 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Have A Go Jo | 78 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Iron Will | 85 | 63 | 87 | -24 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sea Master | - | 99 | 89 | +10 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points