Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: www.taboline.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Intimidator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prevalence 3 57.0 1 0.00 8.0 - 63 6 +6 2 Future Swing 2 57.0 2 0.05 0.0 - 79 79 +79 3 Intimidator 2 57.0 3 2.05 0.0 82 82 82 +0 4 Selukwe 3 57.0 4 3.80 8.0 - 64 64 +64 5 Cider House Rules 2 57.0 5 4.10 0.0 80 80 80 +0 6 Madison Blues 3 57.0 6 4.85 8.0 - 63 63 +63 7 Forged Steel 3 57.0 7 6.10 8.0 - 63 63 +63 8 Forever Bill 3 60.0 8 11.35 8.0 58 69 69 +11 9 William's Impact 2 57.0 9 15.85 0.0 40 79 79 +39 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prevalence | - | 83 | 6 | +77 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Swing | - | 116 | 79 | +37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Intimidator Line | 82 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Selukwe | - | 115 | 64 | +51 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cider House Rules | 80 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Madison Blues | - | 70 | 63 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Forged Steel | - | 49 | 63 | -14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Forever Bill | 58 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | William's Impact | 40 | 40 | 79 | -39 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points