Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: www.hollywoodbets.net MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Swift Action
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bluff On Bluff 3 56.0 1 0.00 9.5 66 66 66 +0 2 Bonanza 3 61.0 2 0.75 9.5 76 76 76 +0 3 Swift Action 3 57.0 3 1.05 9.5 68 68 68 +0 4 Red Impact 2 59.0 4 2.05 6.5 85 78 78 -7 5 Persistance 3 55.5 5 3.05 9.5 64 65 65 +1 6 Wordsworth 7 54.0 6 5.05 0.0 62 81 81 +19 7 King Mo 2 58.5 7 5.80 6.5 84 77 77 -7 8 Not In Doubt 2 56.5 8 7.05 6.5 80 73 73 -7 9 Silver Screen 2 57.5 9 7.45 6.5 82 75 75 -7 10 Chilly Winter 5 59.5 10 12.20 0.0 73 92 92 +19 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluff On Bluff | 66 | 80 | 66 | +14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bonanza | 76 | 57 | 76 | -19 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Swift Action Line | 68 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Red Impact | 85 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Persistance | 64 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Wordsworth | 62 | 65 | 81 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King Mo | 84 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Not In Doubt | 80 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Silver Screen | 82 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Chilly Winter | 73 | 73 | 92 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points