Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 27 SEPTEMBER FM 70 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Laetitia's Angel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mythical Dream 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 83 74 +0 2 Clean Living 2 56.0 2 1.50 6.5 75 71 71 -4 3 Laetitia's Angel 4 60.0 3 2.70 11.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Feather The Nest 4 58.0 4 3.20 11.0 66 66 66 +0 5 In The Ether 6 52.0 5 3.60 0.0 54 76 76 +22 6 Mercer Girl 6 52.0 6 4.00 0.0 51 76 76 +25 7 Moonstrike 3 58.5 7 5.00 9.5 67 70 70 +3 8 Meteoric 3 56.5 8 8.25 9.5 63 66 66 +3 9 Aniara 2 59.0 9 9.50 6.5 81 77 77 -4 10 Beltway 3 56.5 10 12.50 9.5 63 66 66 +3 99 Daisy Buchanan 2 54.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mythical Dream | 74 | 88 | 74 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Clean Living | 75 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Laetitia's Angel Line | 70 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 11.0 | ||
| 4 | Feather The Nest | 66 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | In The Ether | 54 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mercer Girl | 51 | 53 | 76 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moonstrike | 67 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Meteoric | 63 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Aniara | 81 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Beltway | 63 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Daisy Buchanan | - | 74 | 68 | +6 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points