Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: www.hollywoodbets.net MIDDLE STAKES (For horses 3-yrs and older with a nett rating of 95 & below)
Line Horse
Sugar Mountain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Northern Song 4 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 85 89 89 +4 2 Sugar Mountain 3 60.0 2 0.75 8.5 92 92 92 +0 3 I Want It All 3 58.0 3 1.50 8.5 87 87 87 +0 4 Shavout 4 56.0 4 2.25 6.0 82 88 88 +6 5 Keep It Secret 3 62.0 5 2.75 8.5 95 94 94 -1 6 Van Hunks 3 54.0 6 3.05 8.5 80 78 78 -2 7 The Futurist 3 58.0 7 3.45 8.5 87 85 85 -2 8 Lion's Head 4 58.0 8 3.55 6.0 87 90 90 +3 9 Global Ally 6 58.0 9 3.65 0.0 88 102 102 +14 10 Faire Advantage 3 54.0 10 3.85 8.5 78 77 77 -1 11 Silent War 3 56.0 11 12.85 8.5 82 80 80 -2 12 Bayview Express 5 54.0 12 17.85 0.0 77 93 93 +16 99 Night Song 5 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 93 93 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Song | 85 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sugar Mountain Line | 92 | 122 | 92 | +30 | 8.5 | ||
| 3 | I Want It All | 87 | 86 | 87 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shavout | 82 | 70 | 88 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Keep It Secret | 95 | 80 | 94 | -14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Van Hunks | 80 | 84 | 78 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | The Futurist | 87 | 104 | 85 | +19 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lion's Head | 87 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Ally | 88 | 97 | 102 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Faire Advantage | 78 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Silent War | 82 | 91 | 80 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Bayview Express | 77 | 62 | 93 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Night Song | - | 73 | 93 | -20 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points