Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE GRADUATION PLATE (3yo) (For 3yo Maidens, 1 & 2 time winners)

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Line Horse
Marvel William
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Charles Dickens      2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   107   98           98    -9
2    Iconic Destination   5    57.0    2    3.25     0.0   96    94           94    -2
3    Tough Terrain        5    57.0    3    4.25     0.0   94    93           93    -1
4    Marvel William       2    57.0    4    5.75     0.0   92    92           92    +0
5    Le Mans              2    60.0    5    7.25     0.0   93    98           98    +5
6    Wecangoallnight      2    57.0    6    7.75     0.0   98    92           92    -6
7    Narina Trogon        5    57.0    7    10.75    0.0   90    92           92    +2
8    Dave The King        2    60.0    8    99.99    0.0   102   98           98    -4
99   We're Jamming        5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     98           98    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Charles Dickens 107 132 98 +34 0.0 -
2 Iconic Destination 96 78 94 -16 0.0 -
3 Tough Terrain 94 81 93 -12 0.0 -
4 Marvel William Line 92 73 92 -19 0.0
5 Le Mans 93 74 98 -24 0.0 -
6 Wecangoallnight 98 95 92 +3 0.0 -
7 Narina Trogon 90 102 92 +10 0.0 -
8 Dave The King 102 128 98 +30 0.0 -
99 We're Jamming - 108 98 +10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points