Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 29 SEPTEMBER MR 79 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kalahari Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kalahari Blue 2 53.0 1 0.00 6.5 77 77 77 +0 2 Power Ranger 7 52.5 2 1.40 0.0 64 89 89 +25 3 Integrate 3 55.5 3 2.20 9.5 70 76 76 +6 4 Lulu's Boy 5 55.5 4 3.40 0.0 70 95 95 +25 5 Red Carpet Girl 3 53.5 5 3.80 9.5 66 72 72 +6 6 Written In Stone 9 53.5 6 6.30 0.0 66 91 91 +25 7 Drop Of Time 2 55.5 7 7.30 6.5 83 82 82 -1 8 Mescal 2 53.5 8 7.60 6.5 79 78 78 -1 9 Jet Cat 9 55.0 9 9.00 0.0 69 94 94 +25 10 Infinite Peace 3 58.5 10 17.25 9.5 76 82 82 +6 11 Kwazzi's Lady 4 53.0 11 99.99 11.0 73 68 68 -5 99 Earl of Cardigan 3 52.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 69 69 +0 99 Back To Basics 3 52.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 69 69 +0 99 Chyavana 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kalahari Blue Line | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 6.5 | ||
| 2 | Power Ranger | 64 | 69 | 89 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Integrate | 70 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Lulu's Boy | 70 | 71 | 95 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Carpet Girl | 66 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Written In Stone | 66 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Drop Of Time | 83 | 62 | 82 | -20 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mescal | 79 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Jet Cat | 69 | 60 | 94 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Infinite Peace | 76 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 11 | Kwazzi's Lady | 73 | 82 | 68 | +14 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Earl of Cardigan | - | 50 | 69 | -19 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Back To Basics | - | 72 | 69 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Chyavana | - | 106 | 85 | +21 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points