Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 1 OCTOBER FM 71 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mirren
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raratonga Rose 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 67 80 +0 2 Liverpool Legend 4 57.0 2 0.70 6.0 65 66 66 +1 3 Mirren 4 60.0 3 0.90 6.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Winning Queen 6 52.5 4 2.00 0.0 53 67 67 +14 5 Gilda Gray 3 53.5 5 2.25 9.5 60 50 50 -10 6 Cape Bouquet 3 54.0 6 2.45 9.5 61 50 51 -10 7 Fasinada 4 54.5 7 5.65 6.0 59 54 54 -5 8 Sun Bird 3 59.0 8 6.45 9.5 71 56 61 -10 9 Song Of Angels 3 53.0 9 8.75 9.5 59 44 49 -10 99 Mariposa 4 52.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raratonga Rose | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Liverpool Legend | 65 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mirren Line | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Winning Queen | 53 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gilda Gray | 60 | 64 | 50 | +14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Cape Bouquet | 61 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fasinada | 59 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sun Bird | 71 | 87 | 61 | +26 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Song Of Angels | 59 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mariposa | - | 46 | 49 | -3 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points