Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING POLY CHALLENGE (Open - 2nd Leg (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Greenlighttoheaven
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Celtillus 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 87 100 93 +6 2 Greenlighttoheaven 4 59.5 2 0.05 5.0 93 93 93 +0 3 Life On Mars 4 56.5 3 0.55 5.0 84 92 92 +8 4 Naval Secret 4 55.0 4 1.80 5.0 81 87 87 +6 5 Tarantino 4 59.5 5 2.30 5.0 94 95 95 +1 6 Pleasedtomeetyou 6 62.0 6 5.80 0.0 110 108 108 -2 7 Al Qaasim 4 55.0 7 6.30 5.0 81 84 84 +3 99 Global Drummer 4 62.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 98 98 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtillus | 87 | 92 | 93 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Greenlighttoheaven Line | 93 | 83 | 93 | -10 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Life On Mars | 84 | 87 | 92 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Naval Secret | 81 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tarantino | 94 | 96 | 95 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pleasedtomeetyou | 110 | 110 | 108 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Al Qaasim | 81 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Drummer | - | 110 | 98 | +12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points