Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Radames
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Beerenberg           2    60.5    1    0.00     0.0   87    71           87    +0
2    Michael Faraday      2    60.5    2    0.50     0.0   87    76           77    -10
3    Wyag                 2    58.0    3    2.00     0.0   82    69           72    -10
4    Radames              5    55.5    4    2.30     0.0   63    63           63    +0
5    Teatro               5    60.5    5    2.60     0.0   87    73           77    -10
6    Cheeky Laddie        5    58.5    6    2.70     0.0   83    69           73    -10
7    Big Slick            2    59.5    7    3.20     0.0   85    71           75    -10
8    Mr Frostie           4    52.0    8    3.60     4.5   56    46           46    -10
9    Heart Stealer        5    60.5    9    4.85     0.0   87    71           77    -10
10   Aus Bob              3    61.5    10   5.05     7.0   76    59           66    -10
11   Lang's Power         2    60.0    11   7.80     0.0   86    70           76    -10
12   Letaba               6    62.0    12   10.30    0.0   76    74           74    -2
13   Castle Time          3    58.5    13   16.30    7.0   70    53           60    -10
99   Superior Leader      4    57.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     55           55    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Beerenberg 87 76 87 -11 0.0 -
2 Michael Faraday 87 68 77 -9 0.0 -
3 Wyag 82 74 72 +2 0.0 -
4 Radames Line 63 56 63 -7 0.0
5 Teatro 87 91 77 +14 0.0 -
6 Cheeky Laddie 83 87 73 +14 0.0 -
7 Big Slick 85 64 75 -11 0.0 -
8 Mr Frostie 56 51 46 +5 4.5 -
9 Heart Stealer 87 80 77 +3 0.0 -
10 Aus Bob 76 70 66 +4 7.0 -
11 Lang's Power 86 52 76 -24 0.0 -
12 Letaba 76 73 74 -1 0.0 -
13 Castle Time 70 60 60 ✓ Match 7.0 -
99 Superior Leader - 64 55 +9 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points