Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TOPBET JOBURG SPRING F & M CHALLENGE (Grade 2) (For Fillies and Mares at Weight for age + Penalties)
Line Horse
Mercury Rising
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Humdinger 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.0 95 104 101 +6 2 Desert Miracle 3 59.0 2 0.20 8.0 115 104 105 -10 3 Gimme A Shot 2 51.5 3 1.70 0.0 102 108 108 +6 4 Mercury Rising 3 59.0 4 2.45 8.0 106 106 106 +0 5 Homely Girl 3 60.0 5 3.95 8.0 108 107 107 -1 6 Queen Of Shadows 3 59.0 6 5.45 8.0 92 104 104 +12 7 Big Burn 3 60.0 7 6.15 8.0 122 106 112 -10 8 Supreme Quest 3 59.0 8 6.20 8.0 108 104 104 -4 9 May Queen 5 59.5 9 8.95 0.0 93 121 121 +28 10 Lucy In The Sky 4 59.5 10 11.20 5.0 96 111 111 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Humdinger | 95 | 119 | 101 | +18 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Desert Miracle | 115 | 124 | 105 | +19 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gimme A Shot | 102 | 110 | 108 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mercury Rising Line | 106 | 106 | 106 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | ||
| 5 | Homely Girl | 108 | 99 | 107 | -8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Queen Of Shadows | 92 | 95 | 104 | -9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Big Burn | 122 | 115 | 112 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Supreme Quest | 108 | 92 | 104 | -12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | May Queen | 93 | 90 | 121 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lucy In The Sky | 96 | 74 | 111 | -37 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points