Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Princess Donelly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Princess Tea 3 58.0 1 0.00 5.0 72 67 72 +0 2 Princess Donelly 4 59.0 2 0.70 6.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Miss Lialah 4 57.5 3 1.10 6.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Crazy Blues 3 57.0 4 1.50 5.0 75 65 65 -10 5 Twiceasfast 5 54.5 5 2.10 0.0 66 70 70 +4 6 Lady Yusra 3 61.0 6 2.60 5.0 78 73 73 -5 7 Capetown Beauty 3 57.0 7 3.50 5.0 70 65 65 -5 8 Family Favourite 3 59.0 8 3.65 5.0 74 69 69 -5 9 Imbejeje 3 60.0 9 3.95 5.0 76 71 71 -5 10 Kingsmeads Krystl 3 59.0 10 4.45 5.0 74 69 69 -5 11 Queen Niyabah 4 57.0 11 5.45 6.0 63 63 63 +0 12 Miss Charlotte 5 60.0 12 5.75 0.0 69 81 81 +12 13 Gimme A Lullaby 3 59.0 13 6.05 5.0 74 69 69 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princess Tea | 72 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Princess Donelly Line | 67 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Miss Lialah | 64 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Crazy Blues | 75 | 78 | 65 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twiceasfast | 66 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Yusra | 78 | 85 | 73 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Capetown Beauty | 70 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Family Favourite | 74 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Imbejeje | 76 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kingsmeads Krystl | 74 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Queen Niyabah | 63 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Miss Charlotte | 69 | 52 | 81 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Gimme A Lullaby | 74 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points