Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: HOLLYWOODBETS GROOMS INITIATIVE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Line Of Duty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Le Morne 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 88 73 88 +0 2 Tizona 3 59.0 2 0.40 7.0 73 76 76 +3 3 Fort Red 4 60.0 3 1.90 4.5 74 81 81 +7 4 Scalini 2 60.0 4 2.40 0.0 88 89 89 +1 5 Line Of Duty 3 60.0 5 2.45 7.0 75 75 75 +0 6 Running Rifles 3 61.5 6 2.55 7.0 78 78 78 +0 7 Napoleon 3 59.0 7 2.85 7.0 73 73 73 +0 8 Master Of Africa 2 60.0 8 4.35 0.0 88 87 87 -1 9 On The Road Again 3 59.5 9 5.60 7.0 74 72 72 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Morne | 88 | 105 | 88 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tizona | 73 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fort Red | 74 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Scalini | 88 | 70 | 89 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Line Of Duty Line | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 6 | Running Rifles | 78 | 95 | 78 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Napoleon | 73 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Master Of Africa | 88 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | On The Road Again | 74 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points