Race 5: DRAKENSTEIN STUD PROGRESS PLATE (3-year-olds) (Maidens, 1, 2 & 3 time winners (3-year-olds))
TURFFONTEIN RACECOURSE | Saturday, 08 October 2022 | 14:25
Distance:
1450m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R120,000
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Prophet | 2 b. g | 60.0kg | 3 | Mr L M van Rensburg | - | 106 | 66 | 9/2 |
| 2nd | Quantum Theory TF | 5 b. g | 60.0kg | 8 | Mr D de Gouveia | 1.0 | 108 | 112 | 4/1 |
| 3rd | Arividicio | 5 b. g | 57.0kg | 1 | Mr R D Fourie | 1.2 | 87 | 50 | 11/2 |
| 4 | Boisterous | 2 b. c | 57.0kg | 2 | Mr R Munger | 1.3 | 90 | 87 | 7/1 |
| 5 | Laguna Verde | 5 b. g | 57.0kg | 5 | Mr C Zackey | 4.3 | 104 | 86 | 4/1 |
| 6 | Bless My Stars | 2 b. f | 54.0kg | 9 | Mr C J Habib | 5.0 | 103 | 119 | 11/2 |
| 7 | Acorn | 2 b. c | 57.0kg | 4 | Mr R M Simons | 5.3 | 96 | 89 | 25/1 |
| 8 | Houston | 3 b. c | 57.0kg | 6 | Mr R Danielson | 10.3 | 82 | 69 | 33/1 |
| 9 | Eyjafjallajokull | 2 gr. g | 57.0kg | 7 | Mr K de Melo | 26.8 | 94 | 86 | 33/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
87.69s
Average Time
87.22s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R960,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet | 1 | 106 | 66 | + 7 | -47 | |
| Quantum Theory | 2 | 108 | 112 | -1 | + 5 | |
| Arividicio | 3 | 87 | 50 | -1 | -36 | |
| Boisterous | 4 | 90 | 87 | -1 | -2 | |
| Laguna Verde | 5 | 104 | 86 | -2 | -16 | |
| Bless My Stars | 6 | 103 | 119 | -2 | + 18 | |
| Acorn | 7 | 96 | 89 | -2 | -5 | |
| Houston | 8 | 82 | 69 | -4 | -9 | |
| Eyjafjallajokull | 9 | 94 | 86 | -9 | + 1 |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.