Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Music Is Life
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Music Is Life 2 59.0 1 0.00 5.5 82 82 82 +0 2 Super Fast 5 59.0 2 1.90 0.0 - 93 93 +93 3 Space Cowboy 3 60.0 3 2.60 8.5 70 78 78 +8 4 Rare Flag 3 60.0 4 5.00 8.5 49 78 78 +29 5 Hollywood Star 2 59.0 5 6.30 5.5 64 82 82 +18 6 Axel Collins 5 56.5 6 9.00 0.0 - 88 88 +88 7 Imperial Bliss 3 59.0 7 11.50 8.5 - 76 76 +76 8 Future Approach 3 59.0 8 12.10 8.5 - 76 76 +76 9 Roy's Bolt 3 60.0 9 12.35 8.5 35 78 78 +43 10 Jazz Festival 5 59.0 10 14.85 0.0 - 93 93 +93 11 Roy Major 3 59.0 11 16.15 8.5 - 76 76 +76 12 Roy's Off Guard 3 59.0 12 17.65 8.5 - 76 76 +76 99 See It Again 2 57.5 99 0.00 5.5 - 79 79 +0 99 Duke Of Rock 3 59.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Music Is Life Line | 82 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 5.5 | ||
| 2 | Super Fast | - | 83 | 93 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Space Cowboy | 70 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Rare Flag | 49 | 54 | 78 | -24 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hollywood Star | 64 | 59 | 82 | -23 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Axel Collins | - | 55 | 88 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Imperial Bliss | - | 51 | 76 | -25 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Future Approach | - | - | 76 | -76 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Roy's Bolt | 35 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Jazz Festival | - | 70 | 93 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Roy Major | - | 45 | 76 | -31 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Roy's Off Guard | - | - | 76 | -76 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | See It Again | - | 130 | 79 | +51 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Duke Of Rock | - | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points