Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Brandenburg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Manhatten Cafe       3    59.5    1    0.00     8.0   74    54           74    +0
2    Brandenburg          7    56.0    2    1.40     0.0   66    66           66    +0
3    Unique Power         3    55.0    3    1.45     8.0   65    48           55    -10
4    One Shot Wonder      3    53.5    4    1.70     8.0   58    45           48    -10
5    Stanley              5    58.0    5    2.10     0.0   70    70           70    +0
6    Jetavana             3    59.5    6    3.40     8.0   74    55           64    -10
7    Rodriguez            6    59.5    7    4.00     0.0   74    71           71    -3
8    Captain Seager       4    60.0    8    4.75     5.0   74    61           64    -10
9    Wave Warrior         3    57.0    9    4.95     8.0   74    49           64    -10
10   Galabier             4    57.0    10   7.25     5.0   71    55           61    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Manhatten Cafe 74 85 74 +11 8.0 -
2 Brandenburg Line 66 61 66 -5 0.0
3 Unique Power 65 63 55 +8 8.0 -
4 One Shot Wonder 58 46 48 -2 8.0 -
5 Stanley 70 67 70 -3 0.0 -
6 Jetavana 74 65 64 +1 8.0 -
7 Rodriguez 74 69 71 -2 0.0 -
8 Captain Seager 74 69 64 +5 5.0 -
9 Wave Warrior 74 68 64 +4 8.0 -
10 Galabier 71 64 61 +3 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points