Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: www.hollywoodbets.net MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    William The First    2    54.5    1    0.00     0.0   73    68           68    -5
2    Spirit Of Silvano    3    60.0    2    1.50     9.0   68    66           66    -2
3    Western Wall         3    54.0    3    1.70     9.0   56    54           54    -2
4    Future Turn          5    58.5    4    2.20     0.0   81    81           81    +0
5    Run Rudolph Run      3    59.0    5    2.25     9.0   66    64           64    -2
6    Popping Crease       2    55.5    6    3.50     0.0   75    73           73    -2
7    Impetuous            2    57.0    7    3.80     0.0   -     75           75    +75
8    Quasimodo            2    54.0    8    6.55     0.0   71    67           67    -4
9    Landingonthemoon     2    50.0    9    8.30     0.0   58    59           59    +1
10   Yzerfontein          2    57.0    10   10.05    0.0   -     73           73    +73
11   Space Explorer       2    52.0    11   13.30    0.0   68    63           63    -5
99   Confrontational      2    51.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     61           61    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 William The First 73 75 68 +7 0.0 -
2 Spirit Of Silvano 68 69 66 +3 9.0 -
3 Western Wall 56 51 54 -3 9.0 -
4 Future Turn Line 81 78 81 -3 0.0
5 Run Rudolph Run 66 57 64 -7 9.0 -
6 Popping Crease 75 74 73 +1 0.0 -
7 Impetuous - 74 75 -1 0.0 -
8 Quasimodo 71 89 67 +22 0.0 -
9 Landingonthemoon 58 52 59 -7 0.0 -
10 Yzerfontein - 60 73 -13 0.0 -
11 Space Explorer 68 67 63 +4 0.0 -
99 Confrontational - 66 61 +5 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points