Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: HOLLYWOODBETS SPRING COUNTRY SERIES MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
The Futurist
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    I Want It All        3    57.5    1    0.00     9.0   87    83           87    +0
2    The Futurist         3    57.5    2    1.25     9.0   87    87           87    +0
3    Lion's Head          4    58.0    3    1.45     5.0   86    95           95    +9
4    Galactic Path        3    53.0    4    1.75     9.0   78    77           77    -1
5    Navy Strength        3    56.5    5    3.00     9.0   85    83           83    -2
6    Arctic Drift         5    61.0    6    3.40     0.0   92    109          109   +17
7    Shavout              4    56.0    7    3.70     5.0   82    89           89    +7
8    Bayview Express      5    54.0    8    4.10     0.0   77    95           95    +18
9    Global Ally          6    57.0    9    5.35     0.0   86    100          100   +14
10   Dubai Lights         4    57.5    10   99.99    5.0   85    91           91    +6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 I Want It All 87 86 87 -1 9.0 -
2 The Futurist Line 87 104 87 +17 9.0
3 Lion's Head 86 84 95 -11 5.0 -
4 Galactic Path 78 77 77 ✓ Match 9.0 -
5 Navy Strength 85 97 83 +14 9.0 -
6 Arctic Drift 92 97 109 -12 0.0 -
7 Shavout 82 70 89 -19 5.0 -
8 Bayview Express 77 62 95 -33 0.0 -
9 Global Ally 86 97 100 -3 0.0 -
10 Dubai Lights 85 77 91 -14 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points