Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (For horses 3-yrs and older with a nett rating of 95 & below)
Line Horse
Silvano's Dasher
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Silvano's Dasher 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 92 92 92 +0 2 Tout A Fait 3 58.0 2 0.50 7.0 87 93 93 +6 3 Port Louis 2 60.0 3 0.90 0.0 103 110 110 +7 4 Piroshka 5 58.0 4 1.40 0.0 99 105 105 +6 5 Voldemort 6 54.0 5 2.65 0.0 80 96 96 +16 6 Runaway Song 6 58.0 6 2.95 0.0 88 104 104 +16 7 Bright Green 2 60.0 7 3.35 0.0 104 107 107 +3 8 Path Of Choice 5 54.0 8 3.85 0.0 77 95 95 +18 9 Royal Watch 4 58.0 9 13.10 4.5 86 93 93 +7 99 All About Al 7 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 106 106 +0 99 Hammies Hero 2 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 99 Bush Tracker 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 106 106 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silvano's Dasher Line | 92 | 113 | 92 | +21 | 7.0 | ||
| 2 | Tout A Fait | 87 | 80 | 93 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Port Louis | 103 | 106 | 110 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Piroshka | 99 | 72 | 105 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Voldemort | 80 | 81 | 96 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Runaway Song | 88 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bright Green | 104 | 76 | 107 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Path Of Choice | 77 | 68 | 95 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Royal Watch | 86 | 80 | 93 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | All About Al | - | 78 | 106 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hammies Hero | - | 69 | 94 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bush Tracker | - | 100 | 106 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points