Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 18 OCTOBER MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Paris Rix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 European Summer 3 50.5 1 0.00 8.5 59 69 59 +0 2 Persica 5 52.0 2 0.50 0.0 57 89 89 +32 3 Paris Rix 3 60.0 3 0.60 8.5 88 88 88 +0 4 Rock Garden 3 57.0 4 0.70 8.5 82 82 82 +0 5 Brass Bell 8 55.5 5 1.45 0.0 79 96 96 +17 6 Forest Spy 2 59.5 6 3.20 5.5 98 93 93 -5 7 South East 4 54.0 7 4.45 10.0 76 73 73 -3 8 Razor Red 3 52.5 8 5.20 8.5 73 73 73 +0 9 Arverni Warrior 3 53.0 9 7.45 8.5 74 74 74 +0 10 Savannah Winter 3 56.5 10 14.95 8.5 81 81 81 +0 11 Isn't It Bliss 4 52.0 11 17.95 10.0 55 69 69 +14 99 Jet Mirage 3 54.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | European Summer | 59 | 77 | 59 | +18 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Persica | 57 | 48 | 89 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Paris Rix Line | 88 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Rock Garden | 82 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Brass Bell | 79 | 55 | 96 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forest Spy | 98 | 85 | 93 | -8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | South East | 76 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Razor Red | 73 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Arverni Warrior | 74 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Savannah Winter | 81 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Isn't It Bliss | 55 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jet Mirage | - | 100 | 77 | +23 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points