Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: #THISISRACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Covert Operator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Mauritian 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.5 - 45 6 +6 2 Sylvan Theater 3 59.0 2 2.40 8.5 - 45 45 +45 3 Mo The Man 3 59.0 3 2.90 8.5 - 45 45 +45 4 We've Got Tonight 3 59.0 4 4.15 8.5 - 45 45 +45 5 Covert Operator 6 60.0 5 4.85 0.0 64 64 64 +0 6 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 60.0 6 8.35 10.0 52 44 44 -8 7 California Boy 3 59.0 7 8.40 8.5 - 45 45 +45 8 Giocatore 2 59.0 8 11.00 5.5 73 51 63 -10 9 Tincture Time 3 59.0 9 11.60 8.5 - 45 45 +45 10 Tiger In Red 3 59.0 10 13.70 8.5 - 45 45 +45 99 Circus Lights 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Mauritian | - | 100 | 6 | +94 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sylvan Theater | - | 73 | 45 | +28 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mo The Man | - | 83 | 45 | +38 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | We've Got Tonight | - | 75 | 45 | +30 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Covert Operator Line | 64 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 52 | 56 | 44 | +12 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | California Boy | - | 53 | 45 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Giocatore | 73 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tincture Time | - | 53 | 45 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tiger In Red | - | 66 | 45 | +21 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Circus Lights | - | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points