Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: ALGOA CUP 28 OCTOBER 2022 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Douglas Devastator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mansooriya 3 56.5 1 0.00 9.0 52 50 50 -2 2 Douglas Devastator 2 57.0 2 0.25 0.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Joe Harman 4 60.0 3 1.75 5.0 51 70 70 +19 4 Belle's First Wave 3 60.0 4 5.75 9.0 58 57 57 -1 5 Jack In The Box 5 60.0 5 6.00 0.0 56 75 75 +19 6 Stepdance 2 57.0 6 6.10 0.0 63 69 69 +6 7 Opening Ceremony 3 60.0 7 11.60 9.0 59 57 57 -2 8 Elusive Jewel 2 53.5 8 12.60 0.0 57 62 62 +5 9 Dream Star 2 53.5 9 12.65 0.0 62 62 62 +0 99 Coup Royal 3 58.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansooriya | 52 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Douglas Devastator Line | 69 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Joe Harman | 51 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Belle's First Wave | 58 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jack In The Box | 56 | 53 | 75 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Stepdance | 63 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Opening Ceremony | 59 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Elusive Jewel | 57 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dream Star | 62 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Coup Royal | - | 53 | 54 | -1 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points