Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 OCTOBER FM 73 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Just Be Nice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Reny 2 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 78 79 78 +0 2 Just Be Nice 3 56.0 2 4.75 8.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Defender Of Rights 3 57.5 3 4.80 8.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Asiye Phambili 3 57.0 4 6.80 8.0 83 68 73 -10 5 Madame Vicki 2 54.0 5 8.00 0.0 77 78 78 +1 6 Gimme The Flame 5 54.5 6 8.25 0.0 78 79 79 +1 7 Angel's Wish 6 55.5 7 8.75 0.0 65 81 81 +16 8 Super Secret 2 48.5 8 9.00 0.0 74 67 67 -7 9 Up The Irish 2 52.5 9 9.75 0.0 74 75 75 +1 10 Quantum 5 55.5 10 10.50 0.0 80 81 81 +1 11 Zanobian Princess 2 55.0 11 12.00 0.0 79 80 80 +1 12 Gin And Tonic 3 58.5 12 13.25 8.0 71 71 71 +0 13 Outlaw 2 53.0 13 13.50 0.0 78 76 76 -2 14 Let There Be Light 4 60.0 14 17.50 5.0 73 80 80 +7 99 Java House 4 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Kiss To Dream 4 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reny | 78 | 91 | 78 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Just Be Nice Line | 66 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Defender Of Rights | 69 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Asiye Phambili | 83 | 119 | 73 | +46 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Madame Vicki | 77 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimme The Flame | 78 | 50 | 79 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Angel's Wish | 65 | 54 | 81 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Super Secret | 74 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Up The Irish | 74 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Quantum | 80 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Zanobian Princess | 79 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Gin And Tonic | 71 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Outlaw | 78 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Let There Be Light | 73 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Java House | - | 52 | 64 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kiss To Dream | - | 54 | 64 | -10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points