Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN PLATE (3-year-old Fillies) (For Maiden 3-year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Kind Of Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aimee's Idol 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 - -16 - +0 2 Dream Scape 5 60.0 2 0.50 0.0 67 3 57 -10 3 Kind Of Blue 2 60.0 3 2.50 0.0 - - - +0 4 Makaha Beach 2 60.0 4 2.55 0.0 55 - 52 -3 5 Tufaan 2 60.0 5 3.05 0.0 66 - 62 -4 6 Maiguru 2 60.0 6 4.80 0.0 71 -2 61 -10 7 Mia Calice 2 60.0 7 6.30 0.0 62 -2 52 -10 99 Aunt Liberty 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - -2 -2 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aimee's Idol | - | 61 | - | +61 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dream Scape | 67 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kind Of Blue Line | - | 58 | - | +58 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Makaha Beach | 55 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tufaan | 66 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Maiguru | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mia Calice | 62 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Aunt Liberty | - | 38 | -2 | +40 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points