Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: 4RACING.TV MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Supreme Dance
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flashy Apache 6 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 89 84 +0 2 Kaptein 4 54.0 2 2.20 5.0 83 86 86 +3 3 Supreme Dance 4 60.0 3 3.20 5.0 96 96 96 +0 4 King's Crusade 4 52.0 4 4.50 5.0 80 78 78 -2 5 Prince Evlanoff 5 54.0 5 5.00 0.0 84 91 91 +7 6 Youcanthurrylove 5 59.5 6 7.00 0.0 95 102 102 +7 7 Stormy Winter 8 59.0 7 8.70 0.0 94 101 101 +7 8 The Kop 4 57.5 8 9.80 5.0 91 88 88 -3 9 Motown Magic 3 56.5 9 10.00 9.0 91 78 81 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flashy Apache | 84 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kaptein | 83 | 80 | 86 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Supreme Dance Line | 96 | 76 | 96 | -20 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | King's Crusade | 80 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Prince Evlanoff | 84 | 78 | 91 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Youcanthurrylove | 95 | 86 | 102 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Stormy Winter | 94 | 69 | 101 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Kop | 91 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Motown Magic | 91 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points