Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Variety Fair
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shipholia 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 80 6 +6 2 Variety Fair 2 59.0 2 1.40 5.5 69 69 69 +0 3 Miss Dora 3 59.0 3 1.90 8.5 - 63 63 +63 4 Trip To Nebraska 2 55.0 4 2.15 5.5 56 61 61 +5 5 Nonoti 2 57.5 5 3.95 5.5 59 66 66 +7 6 Declare War 3 60.0 6 6.85 8.5 52 65 65 +13 7 Eli's Bow 3 59.0 7 21.55 8.5 - 63 63 +63 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shipholia | - | 104 | 6 | +98 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Variety Fair Line | 69 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 5.5 | ||
| 3 | Miss Dora | - | 58 | 63 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Trip To Nebraska | 56 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Nonoti | 59 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Declare War | 52 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Eli's Bow | - | - | 63 | -63 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points