Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Movie Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    High Velocity        4    53.5    1    0.00     4.5   51    37           51    +0
2    Movie Magic          6    55.5    2    0.70     0.0   55    55           55    +0
3    Sleek As Silk        2    57.0    3    2.30     0.0   72    55           62    -10
4    Head Gardener        3    53.5    4    2.40     7.0   52    34           42    -10
5    Hippocrates          3    56.5    5    2.70     7.0   58    40           48    -10
6    Agressivo            3    55.5    6    2.75     7.0   69    38           59    -10
7    Anotherdayinafrica   6    60.0    7    3.00     0.0   65    61           61    -4
8    Our Emily            3    56.0    8    3.20     7.0   60    39           50    -10
9    Hallerbos            3    58.0    9    4.10     7.0   66    42           56    -10
99   American Dream       3    61.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     48           48    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 High Velocity 51 50 51 -1 4.5 -
2 Movie Magic Line 55 56 55 +1 0.0
3 Sleek As Silk 72 87 62 +25 0.0 -
4 Head Gardener 52 66 42 +24 7.0 -
5 Hippocrates 58 68 48 +20 7.0 -
6 Agressivo 69 67 59 +8 7.0 -
7 Anotherdayinafrica 65 49 61 -12 0.0 -
8 Our Emily 60 87 50 +37 7.0 -
9 Hallerbos 66 57 56 +1 7.0 -
99 American Dream - 81 48 +33 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points