Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 68 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bend The Rules
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Espresso 5 51.0 1 0.00 0.0 58 73 58 +0 2 Bend The Rules 3 59.0 2 0.05 9.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Living Waters 5 57.5 3 0.45 0.0 63 93 93 +30 4 Coromandel 4 57.0 4 1.45 5.0 62 80 80 +18 5 Stanley 5 60.5 5 1.70 0.0 69 97 97 +28 6 In With A Chance 2 54.0 6 1.75 0.0 79 84 84 +5 7 Twice Golden 5 57.5 7 3.45 0.0 68 89 89 +21 8 Tin Cup 3 59.5 8 6.65 9.0 72 72 72 +0 9 Over The Bay 4 52.0 9 7.25 5.0 48 65 65 +17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Espresso | 58 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bend The Rules Line | 71 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 9.0 | ||
| 3 | Living Waters | 63 | 59 | 93 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Coromandel | 62 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stanley | 69 | 67 | 97 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | In With A Chance | 79 | 72 | 84 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice Golden | 68 | 84 | 89 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tin Cup | 72 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Over The Bay | 48 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points