Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mescal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chyavana 3 59.5 1 0.00 8.5 79 84 79 +0 2 Twice The Storm 2 55.5 2 0.25 5.5 82 82 82 +0 3 Mescal 2 52.5 3 2.50 5.5 76 76 76 +0 4 Bonnaroo 3 56.0 4 5.00 8.5 72 77 77 +5 5 Back To Basics 3 52.0 5 5.25 8.5 63 69 69 +6 6 Bronco Blitz 3 58.0 6 7.75 8.5 76 81 81 +5 7 Coffee Break 3 59.0 7 8.25 8.5 78 83 83 +5 8 Letsdoit 3 58.5 8 9.75 8.5 77 82 82 +5 9 Great Times 3 54.5 9 10.50 8.5 68 74 74 +6 10 Sullenberger 5 59.5 10 14.50 0.0 87 101 101 +14 99 Kalahari Blue 2 54.0 99 0.00 5.5 - 79 79 +0 99 Aristachus 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chyavana | 79 | 106 | 79 | +27 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Twice The Storm | 82 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mescal Line | 76 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 5.5 | ||
| 4 | Bonnaroo | 72 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Back To Basics | 63 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bronco Blitz | 76 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Coffee Break | 78 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Letsdoit | 77 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Great Times | 68 | 54 | 74 | -20 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sullenberger | 87 | 72 | 101 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kalahari Blue | - | 75 | 79 | -4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Aristachus | - | 77 | 99 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points