Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 1 NOVEMBER FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Wings Of Nike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mythical Dream 5 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 70 81 +0 2 Rose For Trippi 2 56.0 2 0.75 5.5 79 57 69 -10 3 Silver Winter 2 57.0 3 2.25 5.5 81 59 71 -10 4 Wings Of Nike 6 52.5 4 2.30 0.0 61 61 61 +0 5 Samoa 10 59.5 5 3.25 0.0 75 75 75 +0 6 Love Bite 3 60.0 6 3.30 8.5 76 59 66 -10 7 Clean Living 2 55.5 7 4.50 5.5 78 56 68 -10 8 Run For Isla 3 55.5 8 4.55 8.5 67 50 57 -10 9 Insatiable 3 57.5 9 4.75 8.5 71 54 61 -10 10 Stormy Lass 3 52.5 10 5.00 8.5 64 44 54 -10 11 Laetitia's Angel 4 57.0 11 5.10 10.0 70 50 60 -10 12 A Time To Flower 2 57.5 12 5.75 5.5 82 60 72 -10 13 Kwazzi's Lady 4 54.5 13 6.00 10.0 73 45 63 -10 14 Don't Tell Ash 2 54.0 14 11.00 5.5 75 53 65 -10 99 Grecia 3 52.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 43 43 +0 99 What A Blizzard 3 52.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 43 43 +0 99 Tangerine Pearl 2 52.5 99 0.00 5.5 - 50 50 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mythical Dream | 81 | 88 | 81 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rose For Trippi | 79 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Silver Winter | 81 | 88 | 71 | +17 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Wings Of Nike Line | 61 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Samoa | 75 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Love Bite | 76 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Clean Living | 78 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Run For Isla | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Insatiable | 71 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Stormy Lass | 64 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Laetitia's Angel | 70 | 77 | 60 | +17 | 10.0 | - | |
| 12 | A Time To Flower | 82 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Kwazzi's Lady | 73 | 82 | 63 | +19 | 10.0 | - | |
| 14 | Don't Tell Ash | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Grecia | - | 53 | 43 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | What A Blizzard | - | 52 | 43 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tangerine Pearl | - | 58 | 50 | +8 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points