Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 8 NOVEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Existentialist
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bronco Blitz         3    58.0    1    0.00     7.5   76    84           76    +0
2    Taikonaut            2    60.5    2    0.05     5.0   91    94           94    +3
3    In The Ether         6    52.0    3    4.25     0.0   54    87           87    +33
4    Existentialist       2    57.0    4    4.45     5.0   87    87           87    +0
5    Spielberg            3    59.0    5    4.50     7.5   78    86           86    +8
6    Earl of Cardigan     3    52.0    6    6.25     7.5   62    72           72    +10
7    Musical Kiss         3    52.0    7    6.50     7.5   59    72           72    +13
8    Power Broker         2    58.5    8    7.00     5.0   87    90           90    +3
9    Epic Dream           6    59.0    9    7.50     0.0   78    101          101   +23
10   Back To Basics       3    52.0    10   8.75     7.5   63    72           72    +9
11   Sullenberger         5    63.5    11   12.50    0.0   87    110          110   +23
99   Double Magic         3    60.0    99   0.00     7.5   -     88           88    +0
99   Pendragon            5    52.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     88           88    +0
99   Great Times          3    54.5    99   0.00     7.5   -     77           77    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bronco Blitz 76 80 76 +4 7.5 -
2 Taikonaut 91 104 94 +10 5.0 -
3 In The Ether 54 63 87 -24 0.0 -
4 Existentialist Line 87 80 87 -7 5.0
5 Spielberg 78 75 86 -11 7.5 -
6 Earl of Cardigan 62 50 72 -22 7.5 -
7 Musical Kiss 59 53 72 -19 7.5 -
8 Power Broker 87 102 90 +12 5.0 -
9 Epic Dream 78 75 101 -26 0.0 -
10 Back To Basics 63 72 72 ✓ Match 7.5 -
11 Sullenberger 87 72 110 -38 0.0 -
99 Double Magic - 72 88 -16 7.5 -
99 Pendragon - 73 88 -15 0.0 -
99 Great Times - 54 77 -23 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points