Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Hamlet
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Admirals Chance 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 69 69 69 +0 2 Hamlet 4 60.0 2 4.25 9.0 53 53 53 +0 3 Captain Morne 3 60.0 3 4.30 7.5 60 56 56 -4 4 Dog Detachment 4 60.0 4 7.05 9.0 59 53 53 -6 5 Goom Goom 3 60.0 5 7.30 7.5 58 56 56 -2 6 This Time Round 2 59.0 6 9.80 5.0 59 59 59 +0 7 Le Bonheur 2 59.0 7 10.55 5.0 - 59 59 +59 8 Western Jack 3 59.0 8 14.30 7.5 - 54 54 +54 9 Deep Dive 3 60.0 9 17.55 7.5 30 56 56 +26 10 Total Eclipse 2 59.0 10 24.80 5.0 - 59 59 +59 99 Cliffs Of Dover 2 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Admirals Chance | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hamlet Line | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 9.0 | ||
| 3 | Captain Morne | 60 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Dog Detachment | 59 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Goom Goom | 58 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | This Time Round | 59 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Le Bonheur | - | 60 | 59 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Western Jack | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Deep Dive | 30 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Total Eclipse | - | 35 | 59 | -24 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cliffs Of Dover | - | 55 | 59 | -4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points