Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING240 FOR RACING. FOR YOU FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Miss Millstream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 DutchessBurnedette 4 52.5 1 0.00 4.0 53 42 53 +0 2 Miss Millstream 5 59.0 2 1.50 0.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Lucy Belle 4 60.5 3 1.60 4.0 69 61 61 -8 4 Panzanella 3 60.0 4 1.70 7.0 68 54 58 -10 5 Rosa Dourada 2 55.0 5 1.95 0.0 72 58 62 -10 6 Sugarberry 2 54.5 6 3.45 0.0 70 55 60 -10 7 Arion Of Adrast 3 53.0 7 3.55 7.0 54 38 44 -10 8 Echoes Of Winter 2 53.5 8 6.80 0.0 69 52 59 -10 9 River Birch 4 53.5 9 6.85 4.0 58 44 48 -10 10 Angel Of Justice 3 59.5 10 8.60 7.0 67 50 57 -10 11 Different Drum 3 53.0 11 9.60 7.0 53 37 43 -10 12 Space Oddity 4 52.5 12 9.85 4.0 50 42 42 -8 13 Wintertime 5 53.0 13 13.60 0.0 49 51 51 +2 14 Sailaway With Me 3 54.0 14 22.60 7.0 56 39 46 -10 99 Absolutely Fab 4 52.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 41 41 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DutchessBurnedette | 53 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Miss Millstream Line | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Lucy Belle | 69 | 69 | 61 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Panzanella | 68 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rosa Dourada | 72 | 67 | 62 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sugarberry | 70 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Arion Of Adrast | 54 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Echoes Of Winter | 69 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | River Birch | 58 | 58 | 48 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Angel Of Justice | 67 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Different Drum | 53 | 47 | 43 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Space Oddity | 50 | 47 | 42 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Wintertime | 49 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sailaway With Me | 56 | 56 | 46 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Absolutely Fab | - | 51 | 41 | +10 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points